Strategic Planning of Regional Urban Growth in the State of Guanajuato

Abstract

This study presents a planning exercise based on a spatial interaction model that assesses ex-ante, by defining and building scenarios based on government development projects, different possible strategies and their effect on the distribution of the expected population growth for Guanajuato by the year 2010. This instrument provides elements that, subject to weighting, allow us to make strategic decisions and propose urban and regional development policies at a state level. Key concepts: ex-ante policy evaluation, strategic planning, regional urban growth, spatial interaction model, assessment of scenarios.